The 2 year/10 year inversion ‘may’ indicate trouble ahead. Using this inversion as a timing device has proven to be quite frustrating. A lot can happen in the next 20 months, as in positive developments for the U.S. economy.
Yield inversion explained(courtesy of Investopedia.com): An inverted yield curve is an interest rate environment in which long-term debt instruments have a lower yield than short-term debt instruments of the same credit quality. This type of yield curve is the rarest of the three main curve types and is considered to be a predictor of economic recession.
Historically, inversions of the yield curve have preceded many of the U.S. recessions. Due to this historical correlation, the yield curve is often seen as an accurate forecast of the turning points of the business cycle. A recent example is when the U.S. Treasury yield curve inverted in late 2005, 2006, and again in 2007before U.S. equity markets collapsed. The curve also inverted in late 2018. An inverse yield curve predicts lower interest rates in the future as longer-term bonds are demanded, sending the yields down.
Hat tip Ryan Detrick/LPLResearch