After five days of trading the S&P 500 Index is up 2.8% for the year.
It has started a year with a 2% or better gain fifteen times.
Every year this has happened(15 for 15)the Index has gone on to gain just over 18.5% on average for the year.
Impressive. The interesting data point in the above table is the depth of the deepest pullback during each year. The smallest being 5.8% in 2013, the largest being 33.5% in 1987. The average intra-year decline is just under 20%. As mentioned earlier, the S&P 500 Index hasn’t suffered as much as a 5% pullback in over 350 trading days, that’s the 3rd longest such streak in history. With a little patience we expect to see many entry opportunities during the year. Volatility will make a welcome return.
Hat tip Ryan Detrick of LPL Research