Author Archive

Trump Loves Russia


Russia is the only country ETF that is down for the year.  The rest of the world is very positive.  Average gain for the remaining country ETF’s, a stunning 19%.

Hat tip Charlie Bilello

Stocks at New Highs

No surprise, investor bullishness is also near the highs:


At the same time the seasonal pattern is usually less than positive:


While overall the powerful economic expansion, which began in mid 2009, may soon begin to show its age:


Hat tip Charlie Bilello/Ryan Detrick



Home Prices Continue To Rise


The steady rise in home prices has consistently out paced income and inflation growth over the last few years.  Something’s gotta give. 

Hat tip Charlie Bilello

New Highs


The big movers today, following blow out earnings reports: 

Caterpillar  +5.9%

McDonalds  +4.75%

Wal-Mart  +2.1%

JP Morgan  +1.7%

Not a negative.  Hat tip Charlie Billello

Fighting Falcon


Sweet pic, from  Air Force Capt. David Neville, a 13th Fighter Squadron F-16 Fighting Falcon pilot, conducts a flight sortie above northern Japan, June 12, 2017. Neville and other 13th and 14th Fighter Squadron pilots joined Kadena Air Base, Japan F-15C Eagle pilots to conduct air-to-air and suppression of enemy air defense missions during an aviation relocation training. (U.S. Air Force photo/Staff Sgt. Deana Heitzman)

Hat tip Austin Bay

When Zero Discipline is a Good Thing

If you had invested $10,000 in Netflix on its IPO you would have $1,500,000.00 now.  But it wasn’t easy getting there.  You would have had to live through two separate draw downs of over 80%.  Which would have meant you had absolutely zero risk management in place.  Not a good long term strategy.


Hat tip John Boorman


Greed Is Not Always Good

Especially if you’re a contrarian.  The CNN/Money Fear and Greed Index is beginning to point towards extreme greed.  Certainly something to keep an eye on.  More here:

Can You See 1987?

sp 500 total return

Neither can I.  Great chart above, a very long term view of the S&P 500’s total returns.  I vividly remember being on the floor during the 1987 crash, standing just outside the S&P 500 futures pit at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. If felt like stocks were going to zero. That monstrous October 19th flush(-22.6%)is barely a blip.

The details:

The Most Peaceful Market In History

The VIX(Volatility Index)finished last week at its lowest level in history.  Fear has been completely eradicated:


Hat tip Charlie Bilello

Embrace The Decline


For your weekend reading pleasure, great stuff here from Thomas Heath:  A First Lesson on the Stock Market, Don’t Run From a Good Sale

Here’s the link:

Hat tip LPL Research

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